quote:
Originally posted by Matt from CT:
quote:
but it will have to hit 8 before enough people become serious about conservation that we substantially alter our energy use.
Nope.
We'll develop alternatives. Sustained $8 gasoline will not be tolerated within the next forty years. If it can't be done with crude oil, it'll be done by coal liquifecation, or nuclear plants and hydrogen, or any number of alternative sources to power cars. The economic impact to the suburban development and suburban office parks would be too great; of people no longer traveling to visit family; of vacation communities left desolate. Sustained $4 gas won't be tolerated...if the markets become convinced this isn't a tulip bulb bubble we're in, those alternatives will be built and the political pressure to allow such alternatives will become unbearable.
quote:
Safe enough if it collided with it's own twin, or a brick wall, but a death trap in an altercation with a Hummer or an Excursion.
No, it would be a death trap in a collision with a brick wall, too. Or it's own twin. I've dealt with enough dead motorcyclists over the years, helmeted or not.
The reduction in deaths -- I'm not talking national statistics my my own personal involvement -- since about 1993 when car safety really started to become common place and the engineers had learned their lessons from the last 15 years of work is simply astounding.
Prior to that we would see a couple fatal auto accidents each year even in my small town; now it may be one every couple of years and usually that's in pretty spectacular circumstances. Some of the deaths in the older 1970s/early 1980s cars made you scratch your head that it was fatal since the collision didn't seem that bad; now some of the absolutely devestated cars people are alive in are mind boggling.
In many ways it's made life more complicated for the fire departments -- extrication takes much longer because the way the cars fold up to absorb the energy, and you have to be cognizant of the multiple safety systems that have explosives like air bags and seatbelt pretensioners that may not have fired. You're simply not going to have those safety features built into a motorized rickshaw.
I don't care if you want to drive a lightweight vehicle, I don't care if you drive a motorcycle without a helmet. People have freedom to choose, but don't for a moment think lightweight vehicles are dangerous
only because of SUVs. They're more dangerous because they simply don't have the materials in them that make modern cars as safe as they are.
quote:
Energy, like food and water, is an integral part of American life
How far do you take it comparing corporations with criminal drug gangs?
In the war against those drug gangs, we don't allow anyone to grow Marijuana. Ponder what government control of food and water would mean for your gardening practices.
In the long term, oil prices can only go one way in the general trend and that is UP. There is no limit to how high gas can go.
http://money.cnn.com/pf/features/lists/global_gasprices/It may have blips here and there, but the writing is on the wall as to our future with oil and the rest of the fossil fuels we gobble up.
You have talked about personal transport.
We seem to forget that crude is in our blood in all forms of our world.
I have to laugh at he corn people sometimes. We will be making tires and asphalt out of corn?
Even if we did find out how to burn water for energy, petrochemicals make up a large portion of crude's importance to mankind. Roughly 9% of every barrel of crude goes to petrochemical use. If we stopped burning crude this instant, we would still suck the wells dry, albeit not as quickly, just from petrochemical use.
Some work has been done with making plastics from corn, but it can't touch the variety of plastic and rubber products that crude produces.
http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/plastic.html So even if we all stop driving we will just be postponing the inevitable that our artificial way of living is going to change in the not so distant future.
A partial list of products made from crude:
Solvents Diesel Motor Oil Bearing Grease
Ink Floor Wax Ballpoint Pens Football Cleats
Upholstery Sweaters Boats Insecticides
Bicycle Tires Sports Car Bodies Nail Polish Fishing lures
Dresses Tires Golf Bags Perfumes
Cassettes Dishwasher Tool Boxes Shoe Polish
Motorcycle Helmet Caulking Petroleum Jelly Transparent Tape
CD Player Faucet Washers Antiseptics Clothesline
Curtains Food Preservatives Basketballs Soap
Vitamin Capsules Antihistamines Purses Shoes
Dashboards Cortisone Deodorant Footballs
Putty Dyes Panty Hose Refrigerant
Percolators Life Jackets Rubbing Alcohol Linings
Skis TV Cabinets Shag Rugs Electrician's Tape
Tool Racks Car Battery Cases Epoxy Paint
Mops Slacks Insect Repellent Oil Filters
Umbrellas Yarn Fertilizers Hair Coloring
Roofing Toilet Seats Fishing Rods Lipstick
Denture Adhesive Linoleum Ice Cube Trays Synthetic Rubber
Speakers Plastic Wood Electric Blankets Glycerin
Tennis Rackets Rubber Cement Fishing Boots Dice
Nylon Rope Candles Trash Bags House Paint
Water Pipes Hand Lotion Roller Skates Surf Boards
Shampoo Wheels Paint Rollers Shower Curtains
Guitar Strings Luggage Aspirin Safety Glasses
Antifreeze Football Helmets Awnings Eyeglasses
Clothes Toothbrushes Ice Chests Footballs
Combs CD's Paint Brushes Detergents
Vaporizers Balloons Sun Glasses Tents
Heart Valves Crayons Parachutes Telephones
Enamel Pillows Dishes Cameras
Anesthetics Artificial Turf Artificial limbs Bandages
Dentures Model Cars Folding Doors Hair Curlers
Cold cream Movie film Soft Contact lenses Drinking Cups
Fan Belts Car Enamel Shaving Cream Ammonia
Refrigerators Golf Balls Toothpaste Gasoline
From this list we can see that we are still massively depend on crude for our non sustainable lifestyle.
There is no replacement for crude...crude is in the details of our life.
We got other problems right in line with peak oil. NG and crude are right in bed with each other.
Have you ever thought about how much of our life is dependent on natural gas for cooking, heating and hot water?
How many of our homes are set up for efficient heating with natural methods such as wood, pellet, passive solar?
My house is not.
I never gave this subject any thought until I learned about peak natural gas. And by then it was too late.
My house is as far as it can be from the 'ideal house' that can be heated my natural methods. And to make maters worse, I live in the NE US, where it gets plenty cold.
Do you know that much of your life is dependent on natural gas outside its use as an energy source?
We will run out of natural gas, just as we deplete our crude supplies in the near future.
http://www.amazon.com/High-Noon-Natural-Gas-Energy/dp/1931498539